Groups Stage Matrices
Groups A through L, featuring 4 nations each, sorted internally by their projected statistical likelihood of winning the group stage.
Group A ♦
Mexico
Global Rank: 15Win Group Chance52.4%
Win Cup Chance1.2%
Czech Republic
Global Rank: 28Win Group Chance26.3%
Win Cup Chance0.4%
South Korea
Global Rank: 33Win Group Chance25.0%
Win Cup Chance0.2%
South Africa
Global Rank: 38Win Group Chance7.7%
Win Cup Chance0.1%
Group B ♦
Switzerland
Global Rank: 17Win Group Chance51.2%
Win Cup Chance1.5%
Canada
Global Rank: 24Win Group Chance34.5%
Win Cup Chance0.5%
Bosnia
Global Rank: 26Win Group Chance21.3%
Win Cup Chance0.2%
Qatar
Global Rank: 39Win Group Chance3.4%
Win Cup Chance0.1%
Group C ♦
Brazil
Global Rank: 4Win Group Chance78.7%
Win Cup Chance11.1%
Morocco
Global Rank: 13Win Group Chance19.0%
Win Cup Chance2.0%
Scotland
Global Rank: 27Win Group Chance10.0%
Win Cup Chance0.5%
Haiti
Global Rank: 48Win Group Chance0.7%
Win Cup Chance0.0%
Group D ♦
USA
Global Rank: 12Win Group Chance44.4%
Win Cup Chance1.6%
Turkey
Global Rank: 18Win Group Chance33.3%
Win Cup Chance1.0%
Paraguay
Global Rank: 25Win Group Chance20.0%
Win Cup Chance0.3%
Australia
Global Rank: 34Win Group Chance12.5%
Win Cup Chance0.2%
Group E ♦
Germany
Global Rank: 7Win Group Chance75.6%
Win Cup Chance6.7%
Ecuador
Global Rank: 19Win Group Chance22.2%
Win Cup Chance1.2%
Ivory Coast
Global Rank: 29Win Group Chance14.3%
Win Cup Chance0.4%
Curacao
Global Rank: 46Win Group Chance0.8%
Win Cup Chance0.0%
Group F ♦
Netherlands
Global Rank: 8Win Group Chance53.5%
Win Cup Chance4.8%
Japan
Global Rank: 14Win Group Chance28.6%
Win Cup Chance1.5%
Sweden
Global Rank: 22Win Group Chance22.2%
Win Cup Chance1.0%
Tunisia
Global Rank: 35Win Group Chance8.3%
Win Cup Chance0.1%
Group G ♦
Belgium
Global Rank: 10Win Group Chance69.7%
Win Cup Chance2.8%
Egypt
Global Rank: 30Win Group Chance20.0%
Win Cup Chance0.3%
Iran
Global Rank: 36Win Group Chance18.2%
Win Cup Chance0.1%
New Zealand
Global Rank: 43Win Group Chance3.8%
Win Cup Chance0.1%
Group H ♦
Spain
Global Rank: 1Win Group Chance81.8%
Win Cup Chance17.4%
Uruguay
Global Rank: 16Win Group Chance21.3%
Win Cup Chance1.5%
Saudi Arabia
Global Rank: 40Win Group Chance5.3%
Win Cup Chance0.1%
Cape Verde
Global Rank: 44Win Group Chance2.4%
Win Cup Chance0.1%
Group I ♦
France
Global Rank: 2Win Group Chance69.7%
Win Cup Chance16.7%
Norway
Global Rank: 9Win Group Chance26.7%
Win Cup Chance3.2%
Senegal
Global Rank: 21Win Group Chance11.8%
Win Cup Chance1.1%
Iraq
Global Rank: 41Win Group Chance2.0%
Win Cup Chance0.1%
Group J ♦
Argentina
Global Rank: 5Win Group Chance77.3%
Win Cup Chance10.0%
Austria
Global Rank: 23Win Group Chance18.2%
Win Cup Chance0.7%
Algeria
Global Rank: 31Win Group Chance12.5%
Win Cup Chance0.3%
Jordan
Global Rank: 47Win Group Chance2.4%
Win Cup Chance0.0%
Group K ♦
Portugal
Global Rank: 6Win Group Chance69.7%
Win Cup Chance9.1%
Colombia
Global Rank: 11Win Group Chance29.4%
Win Cup Chance2.4%
DR Congo
Global Rank: 37Win Group Chance8.3%
Win Cup Chance0.1%
Uzbekistan
Global Rank: 45Win Group Chance2.8%
Win Cup Chance0.1%
Group L ♦
England
Global Rank: 3Win Group Chance76.2%
Win Cup Chance13.3%
Croatia
Global Rank: 20Win Group Chance22.2%
Win Cup Chance1.2%
Ghana
Global Rank: 32Win Group Chance9.1%
Win Cup Chance0.3%
Panama
Global Rank: 42Win Group Chance3.2%
Win Cup Chance0.1%